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A Prescriptive Framework for Determining Optimal Days for Short-Term Traffic Counts

Mukwaya, Arthur, Kasamala, Nancy, Gyimah, Nana Kankam, Mwakalonge, Judith, Comert, Gurcan, Siuhi, Saidi, Ruganuza, Denis, Ngotonie, Mark

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) mandates that state Departments of Transportation (DOTs) collect reliable Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) data. However, many U.S. DOTs struggle to obtain accurate AADT, especially for unmonitored roads. While continuous count (CC) stations offer accurate traffic volume data, their implementation is expensive and difficult to deploy widely, compelling agencies to rely on short-duration traffic counts. This study proposes a machine learning framework, the first to our knowledge, to identify optimal representative days for conducting short count (SC) data collection to improve AADT prediction accuracy. Using 2022 and 2023 traffic volume data from the state of Texas, we compare two scenarios: an 'optimal day' approach that iteratively selects the most informative days for AADT estimation and a 'no optimal day' baseline reflecting current practice by most DOTs. To align with Texas DOT's traffic monitoring program, continuous count data were utilized to simulate the 24 hour short counts. The actual field short counts were used to enhance feature engineering through using a leave-one-out (LOO) technique to generate unbiased representative daily traffic features across similar road segments. Our proposed methodology outperforms the baseline across the top five days, with the best day (Day 186) achieving lower errors (RMSE: 7,871.15, MAE: 3,645.09, MAPE: 11.95%) and higher R^2 (0.9756) than the baseline (RMSE: 11,185.00, MAE: 5,118.57, MAPE: 14.42%, R^2: 0.9499). This research offers DOTs an alternative to conventional short-duration count practices, improving AADT estimation, supporting Highway Performance Monitoring System compliance, and reducing the operational costs of statewide traffic data collection.


A Novel Deep Neural Network Architecture for Real-Time Water Demand Forecasting

Salloom, Tony, Kaynak, Okyay, He, Wei

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Short-term water demand forecasting (StWDF) is the foundation stone in the derivation of an optimal plan for controlling water supply systems. Deep learning (DL) approaches provide the most accurate solutions for this purpose. However, they suffer from complexity problem due to the massive number of parameters, in addition to the high forecasting error at the extreme points. In this work, an effective method to alleviate the error at these points is proposed. It is based on extending the data by inserting virtual data within the actual data to relieve the nonlinearity around them. To our knowledge, this is the first work that considers the problem related to the extreme points. Moreover, the water demand forecasting model proposed in this work is a novel DL model with relatively low complexity. The basic model uses the gated recurrent unit (GRU) to handle the sequential relationship in the historical demand data, while an unsupervised classification method, k -means, is introduced for the creation of new features to enhance the prediction accuracy with less number of parameters. Real data obtained from two different water plants in China are used to train and verify the model proposed. The prediction results and the comparison with the state-of-the-art illustrate that the method proposed reduces the complexity of the model six times of what achieved in the literature while conserving the same accuracy. Furthermore, it is found that extending the data set significantly reduces the error by about 30%. However, it increases the training time. Introduction Water scarcity has become a threat to humankind in recent decades. Many efforts in all possible directions are being made to compensate for this growing problem (Northey et al., 2016; González-Zeas et al., 2019). The major reliable strategies for that include water treatment (Zinatloo-Ajabshir et al., 2020a), water desalination, and optimization of water management systems. Nanotechnology is the most powerful technology employed for water treatment, where researchers have done impressive work (Zinatloo-Ajabshir et al., 2020b, 2017; Moshtaghi et al., 2016). On the other hand, StWDF is the foundation stone of the optimization of water management systems.


Safe and Sustainable Electric Bus Charging Scheduling with Constrained Hierarchical DRL

Qi, Jiaju, Lei, Lei, Jonsson, Thorsteinn, Niyato, Dusit

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--The integration of Electric Buses (EBs) with renewable energy sources such as photovoltaic (PV) panels is a promising approach to promote sustainable and low-carbon public transportation. However, optimizing EB charging schedules to minimize operational costs while ensuring safe operation without battery depletion remains challenging - especially under real-world conditions, where uncertainties in PV generation, dynamic electricity prices, variable travel times, and limited charging infrastructure must be accounted for . In this paper, we propose a safe Hierarchical Deep Reinforcement Learning (HDRL) framework for solving the EB Charging Scheduling Problem (EBCSP) under multi-source uncertainties. We formulate the problem as a Constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP) with options to enable temporally abstract decision-making. We develop a novel HDRL algorithm, namely Double Actor-Critic Multi-Agent Proximal Policy Optimization Lagrangian (DAC-MAPPO-Lagrangian), which integrates Lagrangian relaxation into the Double Actor-Critic (DAC) framework. At the high level, we adopt a centralized PPO-Lagrangian algorithm to learn safe charger allocation policies. At the low level, we incorporate MAPPO-Lagrangian to learn decentralized charging power decisions under the Centralized Training and Decentralized Execution (CTDE) paradigm. Extensive experiments with real-world data demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms existing baselines in both cost minimization and safety compliance, while maintaining fast convergence speed. Recent advances in sustainable transportation have emphasized the critical role of Electric Buses (EBs) in mitigating urban pollution, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and improving public transit comfort [1], [2]. However, the electrification of bus fleets introduces significant challenges, including increased strain on local power infrastructures and rising charging costs. To address these issues, two key approaches have gained substantial attention in recent years.



Meta-SimGNN: Adaptive and Robust WiFi Localization Across Dynamic Configurations and Diverse Scenarios

Xiao, Qiqi, Ye, Ziqi, He, Yinghui, Liu, Jianwei, Yu, Guanding

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To promote the practicality of deep learning-based localization, existing studies aim to address the issue of scenario dependence through meta-learning. However, these studies primarily focus on variations in environmental layouts while overlooking the impact of changes in device configurations, such as bandwidth, the number of access points (APs), and the number of antennas used. Unlike environmental changes, variations in device configurations affect the dimensionality of channel state information (CSI), thereby compromising neural network usability. To address this issue, we propose Meta-SimGNN, a novel WiFi localization system that integrates graph neural networks with meta-learning to improve localization generalization and robustness. First, we introduce a fine-grained CSI graph construction scheme, where each AP is treated as a graph node, allowing for adaptability to changes in the number of APs. To structure the features of each node, we propose an amplitude-phase fusion method and a feature extraction method. The former utilizes both amplitude and phase to construct CSI images, enhancing data reliability, while the latter extracts dimension-consistent features to address variations in bandwidth and the number of antennas. Second, a similarity-guided meta-learning strategy is developed to enhance adaptability in diverse scenarios. The initial model parameters for the fine-tuning stage are determined by comparing the similarity between the new scenario and historical scenarios, facilitating rapid adaptation of the model to the new localization scenario. Extensive experimental results over commodity WiFi devices in different scenarios show that Meta-SimGNN outperforms the baseline methods in terms of localization generalization and accuracy.


Random Projections with Asymmetric Quantization

Xiaoyun Li, Ping Li

Neural Information Processing Systems

The method of random projection has been a popular tool for data compression, similarity search, and machine learning. In many practical scenarios, applying quantization on randomly projected data could be very helpful to further reduce storage cost and facilitate more efficient retrievals, while only suffering from little loss in accuracy.


Enhancing failure prediction in nuclear industry: Hybridization of knowledge- and data-driven techniques

Saley, Amaratou Mahamadou, Moyaux, Thierry, Sekhari, Aïcha, Cheutet, Vincent, Danielou, Jean-Baptiste

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The convergence of the Internet of Things (IoT) and Industry 4.0 has significantly enhanced data-driven methodologies within the nuclear industry, notably enhancing safety and economic efficiency. This advancement challenges the precise prediction of future maintenance needs for assets, which is crucial for reducing downtime and operational costs. However, the effectiveness of data-driven methodologies in the nuclear sector requires extensive domain knowledge due to the complexity of the systems involved. Thus, this paper proposes a novel predictive maintenance methodology that combines data-driven techniques with domain knowledge from a nuclear equipment. The methodological originality of this paper is located on two levels: highlighting the limitations of purely data-driven approaches and demonstrating the importance of knowledge in enhancing the performance of the predictive models. The applicative novelty of this work lies in its use within a domain such as a nuclear industry, which is highly restricted and ultrasensitive due to security, economic and environmental concerns. A detailed real-world case study which compares the current state of equipment monitoring with two scenarios, demonstrate that the methodology significantly outperforms purely data-driven methods in failure prediction. While purely data-driven methods achieve only a modest performance with a prediction horizon limited to 3 h and a F1 score of 56.36%, the hybrid approach increases the prediction horizon to 24 h and achieves a higher F1 score of 93.12%.


A More related works

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this section, we discuss more related works in addition to those in Section 2. In this section, we provide more details on our experimental settings, in addition to those in Section 4.1. Below we describe other detailed settings of each defense method. Normal training (i.e., "No defense") On CIFAR10 and GTSRB, we train for I-BAU The original I-BAU paper conducted experiments on a relatively small convolutional network. In this section, we provide more experimental results in addition to those in Section 4. C.1 Potential adaptive attack The results are shown in Table 8. Alongside ASR and CA, we also show the mean square error (MSE) of the image reconstruction. Smaller MSE roughly indicates better image reconstruction quality.